In Andreas' latest and always fun Link Dump 100, he links to So where are all the AI apps?. That article contains all sorts of data, interpretation, and the conclusion that AI isn't really helping developers much.

Is AI massively boosting developer productivity across the board?

No. We are not seeing indications that developers as a whole are 100x or even 10x more productive. The bumper crop of new packages, or new package updates, just does not exist!

Make all the fancy graphs you want, but I don't think the authors are paying attention to the right things. I can't keep up with all the new one-off apps and utilities that non-developers have been cranking out. Vibe coding may not take a professional developer from 10 to 100, but it takes a lot of regular folks from 0 to 1 or more. That's huge and amazing.